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November Roundup: Homesales Moving Comfortably Ahead
The nation is cruising into the holidays with homes sales staying at a pretty
comfortable pace - not selling in minutes like they were last year, but not
staying on the market too long, either.
According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing
single-family dropped slightly in October to a seasonally adjusted annual
rate of 4.96 million units. That's down a little from September's level of
5.16 million annual sales, but above year-ago levels of 4.88 million.
The NAR is forecasting existing homes sales for the year 2000 will top out
around 5.04 million - making it the second best year in history.
Reading The Numbers
The real estate industry is one of the most statistically tracked industries
in the country, with everything counted from homes sales, apartment rentals,
housing starts and even the number of people employed in some way in housing.
Realtor economist Dr. David Lerearh warns, however, its easy to misread the
numbers. Lerearh points out, for instance, that comparing median home price
reports from month-to-month might suggest prices are dropping.
"Every year since record keeping began in 1968, the median home price has
dropped in the fall because fewer families with children are in the market,"
he explains. "As a result, a higher percentage of buyers are singles and
childless couples, generally purchasing more moderately priced homes, so we
see a seasonal dip in prices. This has nothing to do with appreciation."
The national median existing-home price was $138,200 in October, up 4.3
percent from October 1999 when the median price was $132,500.
Rates Expected To Be Neutral, Or Lower
The national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate
mortgage was 7.8 percent in October, slightly lower than the 7.91 rate
reported the previous month and on a par with the 7.85 percent rate charged
in October 1999.
Earlier this year many analysts predicted the Fed would weigh in with an
interest rate increase at its mid-December meeting. Most experts now believe,
however, the economy has softened enough that the central bank will either
leave rates alone or even drop them by a quarter percent.
What's Good for Older Americans?
An interesting debate is going on in the housing industry concerning the
aging of American homeowners and how to identify good, new, senior-friendly
dwellings from those that are marketed as accommodating but actually aren't
very functional.
As the baby boomer generation reaches retirement age, marketers are expected
to produce a torrent of new home plans geared to older Americans. A housing
industry roundtable was recently held to discuss whether such dwellings
should somehow be "certified" as good for senior adults, or whether products
should simply be identified as having "good design."
Other ideas included developing standards, or creating a centralized source
of information. No consensus was reached but efforts are continuing. The
roundtable was hosted by the National Center for Seniors' Housing Research,
whose goal is "to enable all Americans to continue to live comfortably,
safely, and independently in their own homes as they age, regardless of
income or ability level."
The Digital You of The Future
A Belgium company called Starlab is working to produce wired clothing that
can do everything from tell you if you've forgotten your car keys to whether
you're overdoing it when you exercise.
By embedding microchips throughout the fabric, connected by charged threads
woven into the cloth, sensors could tell if your keys aren't in your pocket
or whether you've forgotten your wallet.
In workout suits, fabrics could monitor heart rates, temperature, breathing
and transmit results to a control center.
While it all sounds a bit James Bond-ish, clothing manufactures around the
world are helping to fund the I-Wear project, including Adidas, Levi Strauss
and luggage maker Samsonite.
Written by Realty Times Staff
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