|
Will Inflation Change Canadian Investment Strategies?
"If inflation remains low in Canada, why is everything getting more and
more expensive?"
That's the question that has many Canadians stumped.
The inflation rate is an arbitrary measure of the progressive increase
in prices of goods and services used by the government to set
monetary and other policies. The inflation rate has two variations --
the headline inflation rate which includes volatile food and energy
costs and the core inflation rate which does not. Quoting the latter can
give Canadians a false sense of security.
Earlier this year, the Globe and Mail stated: "In recent
months, rising oil prices have pushed the year-over-year rate up to 2.3
per cent in January, although if food and energy prices are excluded,
the so-called core inflation rate is only 1.4 per cent."
Recently, Statistics Canada announced that higher energy prices had
pushed the October inflation rate to 2.8 %, up from 2.7 % in September.
Double digit increases in heating fuel costs, at the gas pumps and in
our shopping baskets, have many Canadians feeling financial pain in
their pockets, even with inflation at what is considered relatively low
levels. Costs steadily rise on other fronts too. Mortgage interest
costs, rents and telephone services are all up. Property taxes have
increased in all but Manitoba, Quebec and the two northern cities of
Whitehorse and Yellowknife. Ontario's recent round of market value
property tax reassessments has left Torontonians in the lakeside Beaches
community anticipating hikes of up to 35%.
Increasing numbers of Canadians fear that cost-of-living increases may
drive their current standard of living out of reach. Being able to
afford to stay in the home they love as taxes rise and energy costs rise
is a growing concern for Canada's 3.9 million over age 65 since many of
them are on fixed incomes.
Without proper planning, inflation can erode purchasing power and cancel
out your investment efforts. If the interest rate you earn on savings is
less than or equal to the inflation rate, then inflation has cost you
ground.
Wages and pensions which are indexed, that is, calculated to rise with
increases in the cost of living, help some Canadians stay ahead of
inflation, but many people live in a non-indexed world.
The recent report, 2001 Global Compensation Planning Report,
released by William M Mercer, human resource consultants, shows that pay increases in most major
countries will range from just over 1% to 6%, hovering a few percentage
points above inflation rates, which are predicted to rise 1% to 4% in
2001. The annual report, which examines pay and economic trends in
nearly 60 countries worldwide, provides information for employers
planning compensation programs.
Danielle Bushen, a Mercer Compensation consultant, says, "Globally,
we're seeing relatively little inflation predicted for the next year. As
a result, pay increases will be relatively flat, too."
The reports says Canadians may expect the following annual base pay
increases where employers base raises on a projected inflation rate of
2.3% for Canada in 2001:
- Blue Collar Employees 3.4%
- White Collar Employees 3.7%
- Management Employees 3.5%
- Top Management 3.9%
The harsh reality is that everyone needs strategies for fighting
inflation even when it is at seemingly low levels. Ideally, the goal is
to invest in assets which grow enough to stay ahead of inflation. Real
estate is generally considered an investment which will at least keep up
with inflation, however, local variations may provide for even greater
appreciation in value.
What are the best strategies for maintaining or enhancing your standard
of living over the years? Talk to a competent financial advisor to
discover how you can best achieve your financial goals and fight
inflation.
Don't react too quickly if you are advised to sell off your real estate
and buy mutual funds to combat inflation. Many financial advisors are
biased when it comes to evaluating an investment in home ownership since
they do not earn any commission for trades in real estate.
Written by PJ Wade
Can I help you? -- Contact me
|