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June Roundup: Sales of New and Existings Homes Slide
As expected, the torrid sales pace of new and existing homes is
beginning to
slack off a bit, but there is almost no doubt that 1999 will end up in the
record books as one of the best years ever.
The Commerce Department reports that sales of new homes dropped 5.1 percent
in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 888,000, slightly above the
record 875,000 new homes sold last year. That sales pace is expected to
continue to decline for the next few months.
A slowdown also was noted in existing sales, with May showing a decline of
4.0 percent to 5.04 million units from a pace of 5.25 million units recorded in April.
Both National Association of Realtors President Sharon Millett and Home
Builders President Charlie Ruma said slips were expected.
Said Millett, "May was the second month off of the record recorded in March.
We expected sales to slide a bit, but the pace is still very high and we
anticipate another strong year." Added Ruma, "This is still a very healthy
sales rate. New home sales spiked in April, perhaps because people jumped into
the market to try to beat increasing mortgage rates, so this decline wasn't
unexpected."
The national median existing-home sales price rose 3.3 percent in May to
$133,100, compared to $128,900 recorded a year ago.
Interest rates drifting higher
The Federal Reserve reports that interest rates are continuing
to edge up, hovering around 7.65 percent by the end of June, nearly a full
percentage
point above the 6.74 percent level reached earlier this year.
Housing leaders note that interest-sensitive housing sales have fallen in
recent months, showing signs of an economic slowdown and reducing pressure
for the Fed to raise interest rates to battle inflation.
Nevertheless, National Association of Realtors economist Jim Smith foresees
interest rates declining again toward the end of the year to 6.0 to 6.5
percent range.
Immigration pushing housing demand
Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies is out with
its annual
forecast of American housing, and is predicting 1.1 million new households
will form every year for the next 10 years -- with nearly a quarter of them
being formed by new immigrants.
Sixty-five percent of the increase is expected to come from the movement of
the population into ages where households are headed by older, single
individuals. The remainder of growth will be generated by increased single
headed households caused by divorce rates, declining marriage rates and low
re-marriage rates.
The study says baby boomers will drive homeownership rates and values up, and
spend more on remodeling their properties.
"Echo boomers," the children of baby boomers, are expected to account for
more than 1 in 10 owner households by 2010. Many of the "echo boomers" will
be immigrants or second generation Americans.
Men at home
New York: A report by TIME Magazine shows that 59 percent of people with
home offices
are men, and most of them want to stay home to be close to their children.
According to the study, among the benefits of being a stay-at-home dad are:
- Children with dads who work from home are twice as likely to get A's on
their report cards.
- Work at home dads drink less, with 13 percent admitting to have eight
drinks per week, compared to 32 percent of fathers in traditional offices.
- Half of work at home dads play baseball with their kids. Twenty one
percent of traditional working fathers say they prefer to watch video games
with their children.
- 14 percent of home office dads claim to be within their target weight
compared to 25 percent of fathers that work away from home who admit being
overweight by 11 pounds or more.
Written by Realty Times Staff
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