Realty Times May 30, 2000


by Peter G. Miller

Wall Street Declines Expose Online Realities

Peter G. Miller
OurBroker®

For the past few years real estate -- as with virtually all other professions and businesses --has been impacted by online growth.

The results have generally been good. There is more buying and selling information online than was available in the past, and Internet mortgage sites make rate and product comparisons far more competitive -- great news for consumers.

But now the euphoria and hype associated with Internet fever are being replaced by reality. It turns out that not every dot.com business plan is a shrewd idea or especially useful to the public.

A new and wonderful site, StartUpFailures.com points out that despite all the hoopla, few firms ever make it to the promised land of IPO wealth and glory. It says that:

  • "Only six of every one-thousand business plans receive venture funding."

  • "Of the companies that receive funding, sixty percent go bankrupt."

  • "Forty percent of businesses fail within the first five years of operation."

The failures site is just the latest marker which suggests that the much of the IPO boom is over. There are other markers, as well, and as the old expression goes, we are in for interesting times.

It used to be that newly-minted firms could count on rising stock values to induce contributions from venture capitalists and perhaps even purchases from individual investors down the road. But with tech stocks significantly down during the last several months, and with many IPOs substantially below initial values, momentum and buzz no longer assure rising prices or continued venture capital interest.

While rising Wall Street values put just about everyone in a party mood for the past few years, that's no longer the case. Folks who expected fortunes overnight are miffed because their hopes are being undone by reality.

The concern is not with companies, sites or services that attempted to find a marketplace niche and failed. The nature of a free marketplace is that it guarantees risk and not reward. Companies, sometimes very good companies, fail even when operated in good faith and the best of circumstances.

But to sort good faith efforts from those which are something less, we now have a careful re-reading of stock offerings, business plans, company comments, and news releases by legions of trial attorneys. They're looking for unfulfilled promises to venture capitalists, inaccurate accounting, and insider trading. The idea is to extract massive class-action remedies when fault can be proven.

"As with other measures of Washington's burgeoning technology community," reports The Washington Post, "this recent spate of shareholder litigation pales in comparison to what Silicon Valley has endured, but knowledgeable participants and observers on both sides of the bar agree that it represents just the tip of an iceberg. As Washington-area technology companies continue to be born, grow and inevitably sell stock, angry investors will take their grievances, some legitimate and some not, to court in increasing numbers. It's a process that has been accelerated by the recent roiling in the market." (See: Investors Increasingly Take Anger to Court, May 22, 2000)

And it's not just investors who are beginning to look with curiosity at online ventures.

Real estate brokerage is an activity licensed at the state level which functions within a web of rules and regulations. Sites and services which have embraced the idea that the Internet has no boundaries -- and thus no rules -- are likely to be shocked as regulators become more active. In particular, look for state action regarding such issues as false advertising and deceptive practices.

Look also for an increasing number of individual consumer complaints. If it's not right for a local business to make an unfounded service claim or price quote, why is that okay online? Answer: It's not.

The rising securities marketplace which made online fantasies possible is being replaced by a marketplace where reality counts. This is a change which should surprise no one, the only question is why it took so long.

Save Money Financing & Refinancing

The latest edition of The Common-Sense Mortgage -- now among the top-ten best selling real estate books nationwide -- is available in bookstores online and off. In print for nearly 15 years and widely recognized as the standard consumer guide to real estate financing, it's described by syndicated columnist Robert Bruss as "an encyclopedic, detailed summary of just about everything real-estate investors, agents, lenders and borrowers want and need to know about mortgages."

"On my scale of one to 10," says Bruss, "this superb book rates a 10."

"This continues to be the most, lucid, comprehensive treatment of the subject on the market," says The Real Estate Professional. "If you want solid, reliable information about residential real estate financing, written in a thoughtful, convincing style, this is your source."

For additional information, press here.

Question Of The Week

Q I would like to consider a career in real estate, but am concerned that as an individual with a physical disability I will be at a disadvantage when competing for listings and buyer clients. Any suggestions?

A You point to a real issue in every industry and profession: What steps can be taken to assure a full and fair opportunity for those with disabilities?

Real estate should welcome your participation, industry, and intelligence. Speak with local brokers to see what options are available to you, and frankly discuss your interests -- that is, you want to be competitive and make a living.

Temp brokers with the business benefits you represent. For instance, you may have a large circle of influence or a unique expertise which can lead to business opportunities. Sell yourself, keep trying, and if some people cannot see past your disability then work with those who can.

Weekly Resource

Have a need to translate online wording from a foreign language into English or vice versa?

Translation sites that are amazingly helpful include FreeTransalation.com and BabbleFish on Alta Vista. Both sites can translate text to and from English from several languages as well as convert web pages from one language to another.



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