| July 23, 2002 |
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The word on Wall Street -- at least according to assorted seers, soothsayers and analysts -- is that now is a very good time to have cash, lots of cash, so that as stock prices fall investors will be well-positioned to pick up bargains. It's an interesting perspective and raises an obvious question: Is now also a good time to sell real estate? Home values have been steadily rising in most communities, a stunning contrast -- and a relief -- when compared to what's happening on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial average, for example, closed at 8,019.26 on Friday, down more than 2,700 points from the final bell on January 14, 2000 when the Dow topped out at 11,722.98. So should you hoard cash with the expectation that property prices will fall and real estate bargains will be available down the road? And if you think prices will fall, is now the time to sell? Real estate is a local commodity and prices can go up and down. But real estate and the stock market are vastly different forms of investment, which means the strategy which works for one may not work for the other. How do real estate and the stock market differ?
While the stock market has been floundering, the basic elements which power real estate demand have not subsided -- people still want to live indoors, the population is increasing, we crowd around desirable areas, and there are significant leverage and tax advantages associated with homeownership that are unavailable with stock. Equally important, interest rates are at the lowest levels seen in years and anti-development efforts continue to hold down new supply. But if you're concerned about the economy in general -- and it is reasonable to be concerned -- there are some prudent steps you may want to consider:
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