| April 26, 2005 |
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Denver's buyer's market is still drifting, but Realtors hope that spring will be active, as early signs of multiple offers on homes indicates.
About the market, Clausen says, "The market this spring is showing that it's more volatile than it had been. Good homes in good locations are selling quickly, while homes that buyers think are overpriced, are staying on the market for awhile. Many Denver area agents believe that this is a pivotal year for the local real estate market, and that it is beginning to move from a buyer's market toward a seller's market, perhaps as soon as the end of the year. My experience is validating that view. Unexpectedly, interest rates have fallen in the last couple of weeks, but it won't be long before they start to rise again. This could be one of the last great buying moments left in the Denver real estate market." She continues, "It's still a buyer's market in Denver, and according to the experts it won't be a seller's market anytime soon." Gary Bauer, an independent real estate consultant who publishes monthly analyses of the market here, says that "we would have to see a complete change in our current economy" before the balance changed. Without adding more jobs than Colorado economists foresee, and with the Consumer Price Index reaching a new high in February, sellers will have to wait to see a faster selling time and higher prices. The housing inventory in March was six percent higher than in February, and with the spring season now upon us, we can expect inventory to increase even more. The median single-family home price in the metro area in March was $236,500, compared to February's $231,200, a modest increase of 2.3 percent, lower than the long-term appreciation rate of 6.57 percent over the last 30 years in Colorado. The average price of a single family home in March was $292,046. Condo and townhome median prices rose from $155,000 to $158,000, an even more modest rise of 1.9 percent." Clausen advises, "The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) House Price Index shows no decline in value after a period of rapid increase in prices such as the Denver market saw in the 90's. Thus, housing values will likely maintain the modest increases experienced over the last few years, but not increase significantly in the near term. That's good news for buyers, especially given the recent rate hike by the Fed, which was followed by an immediate corresponding rise in mortgage rates." According to Rocky Mountain News real estate reporter, John Rebchook, "rising mortgages rates will likely force 'sellers to keep a lid on prices.'"
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