| August 23, 2005 |
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Despite housing bubble forecasts and indications a housing bust is on the horizon, 61 percent believe home prices will continue to rise and 47 percent believe investing in housing right now is a good decision. Americans are bullish on housing. A Parade Magazine survey, conducted by InsightExpress in July this year found that 43 percent of the 1,000 Americans surveyed were optimistic about the economy -- even without robust growth -- and 32 percent think any economic downturn is at least a year away. It's as if they've ignored the slower rate of home price appreciation. No doubt the optimism is buoyed by past and expected home price appreciation -- 27 percent of them said their home has appreciated by a whopping 50 percent or more since they purchased it and 60.5 percent believe their home's price will be higher in a year. Parade's feel-good survey is a natural for the upbeat Sunday paper insert. It could, however, be telling a story about American consumers in denial about what could be ahead should any major unforeseen circumstance pile on top of higher interest rates, fraud, speculative buying, risky loans and all the other bogeymen haunting housing these days. The survey itself hints that all may not be so rosy with the nation's hot housing market. More than 10 percent of those surveyed say their home has declined in value either by less than five percent or by some unknown margin since they purchased their home. Most of those surveyed (62.8 percent) have lived in their homes only within the past 10 years -- a period that includes the latest housing boom -- but many of them are suffering lost home value. Almost 70 percent of them are very or somewhat concerned about property taxes getting out of hand. Add more taxes to the cost of gasoline, oil, inflated adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) and other mounting bills homeowners already face and the future begins to take an edge. Even though many home owners are optimistic about home values and the economy, most home owners plan to stay put for the next five years. Only 30.2 percent plan to move. Are they hunkering down? Otherwise, according to the survey, everything is coming up roses. The survey said:
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