| August 17, 2007 |
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There's more to choose from, but buying a home is going to cost more in financing. Countrywide, the nation's largest mortgage lender is replacing selling its loans as securities with borrowing money from other banks -- 11.5 billion's worth. And that's sent the stock market into a deepening panic. Will the flight to quality benefit housing? "The stunning flight to quality in financial markets drove Treasury securities rates downward and drove rates on lower-quality debt instruments upward," said David Seiders, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders in his latest market report. "The net impacts on home mortgage rates differed considerably across market components: rates fell slightly in the FHA/VA/Ginnie Mae market, rose modestly in the prime conventional conforming market (served by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) and rose considerably in the nonprime (subprime and Alt-A) and jumbo loan markets. We expect these adjustments to prevail for some time." In other words, the stock market is crashing because lenders are going back to qualifying and approving borrowers for what they can actually afford. Have we all lost our minds? What's so bad about buyers actually being able to afford the homes they're buying? A lot of blame is being thrown around for the housing mess, but here's what really happened in a nutshell.
Let's put this into perspective. With the exception of outright mortgage fraud, most people who took out exotic loans were gambling. They knew it, and so did the markets, regardless of who did a sales number on them. Common sense tells you that when loans are at four percent, they have nowhere to go but up. Builders who built homes faster than households were being formed and existing housing stock was being torn down also knew they were gambling. Banks, who loaned the money, did it because they could. Their loans were being bought right and left by investors. The truth is that the banks, the builders, and the borrowers were all hoping to cash out big. Now there's a different opportunity, but the game's still the same. New buyers can become the masters of the universe:
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