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National Sales Figures Say It's A Buyer's Market

According to the National Association of Realtors, home prices are nearly flat and housing inventories nationwide have gone above the benchmark six-month supply.

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When there is more than six months supply of homes, the market is said to be a buyer's market. Inventories of less than six month's supply are said to be seller's market. A buyer's market favors the buyer in negotiating the sales price and terms with the seller.

June sales were 8.9 percent below last year's pace.

David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said the housing market is flattening-out. "Over the last three months home sales have held in a narrow range, easing to a level that is near our annual projection, which tells us the market is stabilizing," he said. "At the same time, sellers have recognized that they need to be more competitive in their pricing given the rise in housing inventories. Home prices are only a little higher than a year ago."

The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $231,000 in June, up 0.9 percent from June 2005 when the median was $229,000. The median is a typical market price where half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less.

"The change in price performance is directly tied to housing inventories -- a year ago we had a lean supply of homes and a sellers' market, with monthly home sales at an all-time record high," Lereah said.

Total housing inventory levels rose 3.8 percent at the end of June to 3.73 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.8-month supply at the current sales pace. By contrast, in June 2005, there was a tight 4.4-month supply on the market.

In key markets such as California, where one out of nine homeowners lives, the market is still showing some appreciation, but far from the double digit returns of last year. According to the California Association of Realtors' chief economist, Leslie Appleton-Young, the median price of an existing home in California increased 6.2 percent in June and sales decreased 26.3 percent compared with the same period a year ago.

"Mortgage interest rates continued to edge up for the fifth consecutive month in June, contributing in part to a slowdown in sales," said Appleton-Young. "June 2006 was the first time since late 2001 that the sales pace fell below 500,000 for two consecutive months. Home sales declined 26.3 percent last month compared with June 2005, when they hit the third-highest monthly pace on record."

That puts California's unsold inventory for existing single-family detached homes at a 6.2 month supply, compared with 2.5 months (revised) for the same period a year ago.

High prices haven't been the only factor to cool the housing market. Mortgage interest rates have also risen over a point from June 2005 to June 2006, further depressing affordability for homebuyers.

The good news is for homebuyers, says NAR President Thomas M. Stevens. "People who were discouraged by the bidding wars that were so common over the last few years are finding more choices now," said Stevens, senior vice president of NRT Inc. "Relative to the five-year housing boom, this year is a buyer's market in much of the country with plentiful supply, along with interest rates which remain historically favorable, so it's a good time to buy a home."

Published: July 27, 2006

Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.




Blanche Evans is the award-winning senior editor of Realty Times, the Internet's leading independent real estate news service. She is featured daily on the Realty Times Video Network in the "Realty Viewpoint" segment.

Blanche has been named one of the "25 Most Influential People In Real Estate" by REALTOR Magazine, and has been twice recognized as a "notable." In 2005, she was named "Top Reporter Covering the NAR" by Delahaye-Bacon's.

Blanche is a renowned author of five real estate books. Her newest, Bubbles, Booms and Busts: Make Money In Any Real Estate Market, McGraw-Hill, was rave-reviewed by The New York Times. She was also selected from hundreds of real estate experts to contribute to Donald Trump's book, Trump: The Best Real Estate Advice I Ever Received: 100 Top Experts Share Their Strategies, Rutledge Hill Press, and is featured on page 68.


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In 2006, Blanche was selected among scores of candidates to author two consumer real estate guidebooks for the National Association of Realtors: The NAR Guide to Home Buying, and The NAR Guide to Home Selling, Wiley & Sons. She is currently planning two new books for the NAR and its members.

     

Known for her keen insight into real estate industry issues and for her ability to make complex subjects easy to understand, Blanche is a sought-after keynote and continuing education speaker. Real estate organizations from MLSs, to brokerages, to franchisors, to associations hire her to provide up-to-the-minute analysis of real estate industry news and advice on how to improve revenues. Her passionate delivery, peppered with stinging wit, is a huge hit with audiences and fans.


Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors, Blanche Evans, Richard Courtney, president 2007, GRAR

"The GNAR membership meeting last week featured Blanche Evans as the keynote speaker. Her comments and insights resonated extremely well with those in attendance and we have had many requests for copies of her PowerPoint Presentation. She was a terrific part of the membership meeting and convention program!" - Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors

Coverage from WSMV, Nashville - 8-14-2007

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Blanche's fireside chat with Jeremy Conaway, HAR - Click here.

To contact Blanche, email her at .

For more articles by Blanche, click here.



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