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Real Estate News and Advice |
December 2, 2008 |
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Home Price Appreciation Erosion 'Significant'
by Broderick Perkins
The latest major housing market report reveals the level of home price appreciation is shrinking at a rate not seen since 1975. On the heels of growing numbers of reports that inventories are rising as home sales are falling, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight's Home Price Index for the second quarter 2006, reveals home prices rose 10.06 for the year and only 1.17 percent from the first quarter to the second quarter, for an annualized rate of 4.68 percent. A year ago, home prices rose an average 14.04 percent for the year and 3.65 percent from the first quarter to the second quarter, for a 14.62 percent annualized rate. Last year in the second quarter, the 14.04 percent year-to-year increase was the highest in recent history for the OFHEO. The quarterly rate for the second quarter this year reflects a sharp decline of more than one percentage point from the previous quarter this year (2.2 percent) and is the lowest rate of appreciation since the fourth quarter of 1999 (1.12 percent) -- an era that spawned widespread home price deflation. The decline in the quarterly rate comparing the second quarter this year to the second quarter last year (from 3.65 percent, down to 1.17 percent) is the sharpest decline since the beginning of OFHEO's House Price Index (HPI) in 1975. The annualized rate, now at only 4.68 percent, peaked at 17.87 percent during the third quarter of 2004. Home prices still moved faster than prices of non-housing goods and services in the Consumer Price Index over the past year, OFHEO reported, but the housing market continued to show signs of wear in a growing number of regions. The blame for historically low levels of appreciation goes to a convergence of factors -- unaffordable housing, more attractive rents, higher interest rates, speculators and investors bailing out and the resultant rise in the supply. The fundamentals always apply. "These data are a strong indication that the housing market is cooling in a very significant way. Indeed, the deceleration appears in almost every region of the country," said OFHEO director James B. Lockhart. Bend, OR, in one quarter moving up from No. 6, was the new home price appreciation leader among 275 metro areas with an annual rate of appreciation at 36.65 percent and a quarter-to-quarter rate at 7.37 percent. At the bottom of the heap, Ann Arbor, MI's home prices tanked, dropping 1.28 percent for the year with a full 1 percent loss in home values from the first to second quarter this year. Bend is part of a trend. While the 20 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) with the highest appreciation included nine cities in Florida, the representation of other states continues to grow. MSAs in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Washington State are now among the fastest appreciating markets. Another trend reveals most states that had the highest home price appreciation in the first quarter this year, fell hardest when year-over-year numbers were examined in the second quarter. Other significant OFHEO HPI findings included:
Published: September 6, 2006 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws. Related Articles:
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