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November 27, 2009
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  CONDITIONS™
By Local Real Estate Experts  


Market Conditions for Maricopa County, Arizona

Reported by Rob Cohen, Esq., Realtor

Updated October 10, 2009.

Current Market Rating: 1



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Buyer's

Seller's

Current Price Trend: 2




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Falling

Rising

The trend of increased sales is continuing. See recent article below describing recovery. Scottsdale sales has been trending up, meeting sales at height of market in 2005. 60-70% of purchases are distressed sales. While new foreclosures arise, they are moving extremely quickly, some with competitive bidding.

Worst may be over for housing in the Valley
Signs of recovery starting to surface on the outskirts
by Catherine Reagor - Oct. 10, 2009 12:00 AM
The Arizona Republic
Valley homeowners have watched their property values plummet with a sense of shock and horror during the past year. But the gut-wrenching drop could be over as early signs of the market finally hitting bottom have appeared in some areas.
On Sunday, The Arizona Republic's latest Valley Home Values report will show prices dropped in every Phoenix-area ZIP code during the first eight months of 2009. A closer look at the numbers, though, reveals newer communities on the outer edges of metropolitan Phoenix are seeing smaller declines in home prices this year compared with 2008.
Those areas, including neighborhoods in Buckeye, Gilbert, Queen Creek and Surprise, were the first to experience the housing market's collapse. Those former housing hot spots could be the first to recover.
Older areas closer to downtown Phoenix, including many central Phoenix neighborhoods, suffered the biggest home-price hits this year.
Most of these areas were the last parts of the Valley to see housing values tank, but they could bounce back more quickly because many of the neighborhoods are popular with people who want to live closer in.
Positive signs
And there are signs the Valley's housing market has begun to inch toward a recovery.
Foreclosures have dropped during the past two months. Home sales are well ahead of last year's pace. Home prices are slowly ticking up.
"Valley home prices hit bottom in April," said Mike Orr, who publishes the "Cromford Report," a daily analysis of metropolitan Phoenix's home-sales data. "Foreclosures have peaked. The market is struggling to establish a clear direction."
Orr said the Valley's affordable-housing markets, especially those farther out, are seeing gains in home prices now.
But prices continue to fall in the most expensive neighborhoods.
The latest figures on foreclosure rates, home sales and home prices may be early indicators the housing market is starting to come back.
Foreclosures
Valley foreclosures fell 29 percent in September from the record 5,300 reached in July. Pre-foreclosures were also down last month, but there were still 7,857 homes that lenders started to foreclose on.
This is the key gauge of the health of metro Phoenix's housing market.
As long as lenders continue to foreclose on Valley homes and resell them for half of what they sold for a few years ago, home prices will fall.
Home sales
In June, Valley home sales buoyed by foreclosure-home resales rivaled monthly records set during the boom years. Although sales have slowed a little in the past few months, 85,000 homes have sold across metro Phoenix so far this year. That's 50 percent ahead of last year's pace.
There's a positive indicator in the slight drop in recent home sales. Fewer of the sales are foreclosure homes.

Earlier this year, foreclosures homes accounted for almost 70 percent of all Valley home sales. Slightly less than half of the home sales in September were foreclosure homes.
Home prices
The median price of a Valley home has ticked up to $135,000 after falling to a 10-year low of about $120,000 six months ago.
The current median is half of what the record median high price for the market was in 2006, but it is heading in the right direction. Valley home prices started falling in mid-2007 but didn't plummet until late in the year when lenders placed thousands of foreclosure homes on the market all at once and began accepting low-ball offers.
The supply of foreclosure homes in the Valley has also fallen, another good sign for the market. There currently are about 4,500 foreclosure homes listed for sale, compared with more than 20,000 in February.
The federal government's plan to push more lenders to restructure the mortgages of borrowers facing foreclosure could help ensure foreclosures don't soar again.
A full recovery isn't imminent, but the latest signs suggest the Valley's housing market is beginning to pull out of its nose dive.



Location Characteristics: At the Valley of the Sun Team we specialize in distressed sales throughout the Valley. We work with buyers and sellers from Scottsdale to Buckeye, Peoria to Queen Creek and all points in between.

For More Information:

View Market Conditions of other areas served by Rob Cohen

Navigate: Top > Arizona > Maricopa County

About Rob Cohen:
For the Valley of the Sun Team it's all about, "Taking it Further" and setting new standards for the real estate industry. The goal is always to make it easy for their clients to Buy or Sell real estate with the help of the Valley of the Sun Team. Referrals are important to the Valley of the Sun Team and they found the only way to get them is to perform in the arena of excellence. That means their clients are ecstatic that they found the Valley of the Sun Team to help them with their real estate goals and transactions.

The newest innovation of the Valley of the Sun Team is the free "VIP Home Finder Service". How does it work? Give them the criteria you have for your home and they enter that information into their program that searches the entire Multiple Listing Service (MLS) for matches and then sends it to your email early that morning. Each morning you will receive the new listing that are new on the market based on your criteria.

It reduces the frustration of searching multiple online services and looking at hundreds of homes that you have absolutely no interest in and you'll see new listing first, giving you some advantages over other buyers.

Want to try it? Call or email them and they will get you started.



These reports reflect the views and opinions of their authors and are not necessarily the views and opinions of Realty Times.




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