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Real Estate News and Advice |
October 10, 2008 |
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Portfolios Pit Down Payments Against Stock Market
by Broderick Perkins
It's an investment option that can help diversify your portfolio but, like most options, it isn't bullet proof. Do all the math before you take the plunge. "If your point of reference is the last couple of years of investments in stocks, you are too young to remember that markets don't always go up," says Jack Guttentag, professor emeritus at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School in Philadelphia. Just as securities-backed mortgages is an option of the times, the down payment-vs.-stock investment buzz isn't pie-in-the-sky speculation. In January, the Federal Reserve Board's "Recent Changes in U.S. Family Finances: The 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances" said, while the median value of a family's stock holdings alone rose 62.3 percent from $15,400 in 1995 to $25,000 in 1998, the median value of homes rose a paltry 4.6 percent during the same period. A home represents 27.9 percent of a family's total wealth, but returns from stocks, bonds, mutual funds and retirement accounts comprise nearly as much, 27.2 percent percent, according to the Fed's study, which stops at 1998 without considering the impact of last year's bullish stock market. "I know of people who were in a position to pay cash, but they get adjustable rates instead and invest the spread," said Jim Paulson, a real estate agent with John L. Scott in Boise, Idaho. "For example, instead of paying $200,000 cash, why not get an adjustable rate that will be low for the first few years and invest the $200,000 into tax free bonds (for the risk averse) or into mutual funds," Paulson said. But that's a simplistic apples-and-oranges comparison that doesn't consider the down payment as a multi-pronged investment tool, say Guttentag, who also operates The Mortgage Professor Web site. The down payment investment includes: "If you borrow $10,000 less, you save not only the interest, but the upfront fees on the $10,000," said Guttentag. Guttentag says when you consider the down payment as an investment the rate of "return" can be as high as 14 percent, when you factor in the loan term, how long you hold onto your home and other factors. "If you want to make rate-of-return comparisons with other assets, you must remember to convert the returns on the other assets to an after-tax return as well," he said. Generally, poor judgment relies only upon recent stock market returns to make long-term investment decisions, which likewise should consider long-term factors. However, with hard numbers to calculate, figuring your "return" on a home investment is much easier then predicting stock market ups and downs. "If you are confident you will continue to earn 20 percent or more in the stock market, go ahead and do it, but if the market takes a nose dive, your security goes in the tank and you are not going to have any equity in your home," Guttentag warns. Paulson concedes the risk of trading your down payment for securities isn't for everyone. "I wouldn't do that if it was my only resource. It's hard enough for people buying their first home just to scrape together the down payment and it's a challenge to get the closing costs," Paulson said. "This is for someone who is solvent and prudent about handling investments. There is a lot of potential. Instead of putting 20 percent down, just make 5 percent and make out a hell of a lot better," he added. Also See:
Published: February 10, 2000 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws. Related Articles:
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