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Real Estate News and Advice |
November 21, 2008 |
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Super-Jumbo Loans Face Hard Times
by Peter G. Miller
It must have seemed like a good idea at the time: Not only could you get 100 percent financing for your home, you could do better -- 110 percent, 125 percent, and sometimes even more. If you bought or refinanced a $200,000 home you could borrow $220,000, $250,000, or perhaps a higher figure. Such loans were generally sold with the thought that in the best case the additional money could be used to pay off credit card debt, buy a new car, start a new business, pay for college or whatever. And why worry about repayment? After all, money from rising stock values and appreciating homes could be used to pay off the debt. In the best case, no cash other than monthly payments would ever come from the borrower. Oh well, whoops. The presumptions which powered what I call "super-jumbo" loans (and what lenders generally call "high-LTV" financing) are about to be challenged in a big way. What's going on is not a by-product of the September terrorist attacks, but rather the predictable, expected, typical, usual result of mainstream economics: There are good times and there are slow times. We are now at the cusp of a slow period. To obtain 125 percent financing a lender has to believe that the borrower can repay the loan at some point. If homes appreciate at 5 percent a year, then a home which now sells for $200,000 will be worth $255,256 in five years. Given that most homes are owned for more than five years and also that 5 percent appreciation has not been unusual in many areas during the past decade, the lender's risk is not great. Moreover, super-jumbo loans imply more risk so lenders have been able to obtain above-market interest rates. At this point we have a happy borrower and an ebullient lender. But with the economy slowing, super-jumbo loans are suddenly much more risky.
It's hard to imagine that some number of super-jumbo borrowers are not among the financially distressed -- or soon will be. And it's easy to see that super-jumbo loans will be a source of losses for many lenders. It's good to test the boundaries of convention, to see what works and what doesn't. But given the economic slow-down we now face, super-jumbo loans are unlikely to be a common loan option in the coming months. For more articles by Peter G. Miller, please press here. Published: October 24, 2001 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws. Related Articles:
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