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September 5, 2008
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AARP Renews Forecast Of Major Housing Crisis

A baby boom demographic bulge making its way through the population is going to exacerbate current shortages and create a housing crisis not seen since the end of World War II, according to a report presented to the federal Commission on Affordable Housing and Health Facilities Needs for Seniors in the 21st Century (Seniors Commission).

The crisis will hit not just the traditional housing market, but retirement living quarters, second homes and other housing baby boomers will need. And once the baby boomers are settled in, their kids, so-called "echo boomers" will generate even greater demands on housing.

"The bottom line is: In America today, there is a deficit of affordable and appropriate housing for growing numbers of our older citizens," American Association of Retired People board member Keith Campbell, recently told the Seniors Commission.

The commission was created by Congress to report back on the housing and health needs for the next generation of seniors and to offer policy and legislative recommendations for enhancing services and increasing the available housing for the fastest growing segment of the population.

"When America faced a housing crisis after World War II, it responded. America again needs to respond. The housing and health care services shortfall of today will turn into the housing and health care services crisis of tomorrow if our policy-makers fail to anticipate and act on the arrival of baby boomers who are of modest means," Campbell said earlier this year in a commission field hearing in Miami.

His sentiments echoed similar recent reports, including "Aging In Place" and "Housing America's Seniors" both by Harvard University's Joint Center For Housing Studies and "The Case for Investing in Seniors Housing & Long Term Care Properties" by the National Investment Center for The Seniors.

The reports attempt to awaken sleepy efforts to house the nation's 82 million so-called "baby boomers," people born between the years 1946 and 1964, now aged between 38 and 56 years, and who are almost one-third of the nation's population, according to the U.S. Census.

The median age of the U.S. population was 35.3 years in 2000, the highest it has ever been, reflecting the aging of baby boomers, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce.

Baby boomers hail from the "Me Generation" of status-conscious consumers who live by a never-grow-up Peter Pan philosophy. They eschew retirement with a vengeance -- 74 percent of them say they plan to do, or are currently doing, some kind of paid work in retirement. Only a little more than one third of them expect to have to scale back their lifestyle during retirement and 74 percent of them said they don't want to depend on their children, according to AARP.

AARP's Campbell said the commission must identify for older Americans their needs for housing and supportive services, including special transportation, in-home health care, home-delivered meals and other needs that will allow them to live independent lives for as long as they will desire.

Campbell proposed steps that AARP says should be taken to avert the coming housing crisis.

  • Adopt more comprehensive and flexible approaches for dealing with housing and supportive services that expand options for addressing the physical and mental needs of older people.
  • Create a policy environment that encourages the private sector to develop a wider range of strategies for making home-based supportive services a viable option.
  • Explore additional tax incentives and other financing tools, such as the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit program and reverse mortgages, to make housing and supportive service options feasible.
  • Review legal and regulatory structures for unnecessary barriers and business financing practices that adversely affect availability and affordability of different forms of housing.
  • Evaluate and, when appropriate, use emerging technologies to enhance innovative approaches in housing construction and service delivery.
  • Incorporate "universal design" concepts to permit new housing to better meet the lifespan needs of residents and help older Americans remain independent.
  • Explore all opportunities to develop public-private partnerships to meet the housing needs of older Americans.
  • Promote, preserve, and protect the important role of home ownership, especially among moderate-income elders, in meeting the housing needs of older persons.

    "If we fail to meet these challenges, the likely result will be a crisis in both affordability and availability in housing, creating the possibility that we will see an America with a significant increase in underhoused, under served older citizens. And a result of this could be a substantial increase in costly and premature institutionalization of older people," Campbell said.

    AARP's proposals may not be enough.

    The next generation, variously called "Generation X" and "Echo Boomers" will place even greater demand on the housing system. Echo boomers will establish 11 million new households by 2010, up from 10.7 million between 1990 and 2000, according to Eric Belsky, executive director of the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies.

  • Published: March 21, 2002

    Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.




    Broderick Perkins parlayed a career in old-school journalism into a contemporary digital news service that really hits home.

    The award-winning consumer journalist, originally from Wilmington, DE, is founder, publisher and executive editor of the bootstrap DeadlineNews Group, a Silicon Valley-based editorial content and consulting service specializing in residential real estate, consumer news and related editorial consulting services.

    The DeadlineNews Group includes the website, DeadlineNews.com, offering real estate editorial content and consulting services, and its back shop, the Deadline Newsroom, an open house on news that really hits home.

    Perkins obtained his formal journalism education from University of Delaware and a journalism boot camp, the Institute of Journalism Education at the University of California-Berkeley. He went on to 20 years of service as a daily newspaper journalist at the Wilmington, DE News Journal and San Jose, CA Mercury News.

    Perkins covered housing on the San Jose Mercury News reporting team which earned a General News Reporting Pulitzer Prize in 1989 for coverage of the Loma Prieta earthquake.

    He has also produced real estate, consumer and small business content for the Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, RealtyTimes.com, Nolo.com, Better Homes and Gardens, the National Association of Realtors, Homestore/Move and Intuit/Quicken among more than three dozen publications.

    In addition to managing the DeadlineNews Group, Perkins most recently served as chief editorial consultant for Nolo's Essential Guide To Buying Your First Home, Nolo, and writes real estate television scripts for RealtyTimes.com.




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