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Future Rates May Depend on September Jobs Report on Hurricane's Effects

McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market SurveySM (PMMSSM) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.91 percent, with an average 0.5 point, for the week ending September 29, 2005, up from last week when it averaged 5.80 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.72 percent.

The average for the 15-year FRM this week is 5.48 percent, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 5.37 percent. A year ago, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.12 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 5.44 percent this week, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 5.31 percent. There is no annual historical information for last year since Freddie Mac only began tracking this mortgage rate at the start of this year.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 4.68 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, up slightly from last week when it averaged 4.48 percent. At this time last year, the one-year ARM averaged 3.97 percent.

Freddie Mac chief economist Frank Nothaft said "this past week's increase in mortgage rates reflects market anxieties over inflationary pressures, energy price increases, and slipping consumer confidence. Taken together these developments suggest less personal spending during the last quarter of the year and additional upward pressure on mortgage rates."

"Looking ahead, next week's employment report for September will provide a critical indicator of the economic effects of the recent hurricanes. If that report confirms the market's expectation for only a slight bump in the unemployment rate and overall job losses of around 200,000 personnel, mortgage rates may not rise much more through the end of the year."

Published: September 30, 2005

Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.







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