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Real Estate News and Advice |
August 28, 2008 |
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Realogy Fights Bad Press About The Housing Market
by Blanche Evans
Taking out a full-page ad in USA Today's Oct. 6, 2006 edition, Realogy is sending a strong message to the press, the public and its franchisees -- there's a positive story to tell about real estate -- namely, that interest rates are low, inventories are favorable, and now's a great time to buy a home. Says Alex Perriello, president and CEO of the Realogy Franchise Group (ERA, Coldwell Banker, Century 21, Sotheby's, The Corcoran Group), "We’re trying to motivate buyers with the facts. Rates are good, inventory is plentiful, and people are buying homes. Armed with the facts, we think buyers will feel confident enough come down off the fence that the media hype has put them on." In a letter of explanation to franchisee brokers, owners and office manager, Perriello wrote: "Tomorrow, Realogy is running a full-page ad in the main news section of USA Today to shine a positive light on the opportunities that exist in the current real estate market. We have attached an advance copy of the ad for you to share with your colleagues as well as your homebuyers and sellers. It's high time somebody fought back against the deluge of negative press the housing industry has received of late, and slowly people are beginning to stand up to the financial press, the me-too press and others who so enthusiastically posted and sometimes spun housing data as negatively as possible. Despite pleas for reason by economists such as Frank Nothaft, chief economist, Freddie Mac, and David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, that housing is not going to crash on a national level, the financial press has appeared to take delight in the falling sales and prices of select areas, and blowing them up to appear as if those areas are the norm, including parts of southern California, Florida, Nevada and Michigan. As Nothaft pointed out over a year ago, "Freddie Mac's analysis of single-family houses over the last half century hasn't shown a single year when the national average housing price has gone down. The last consistent drop was during the Great Depression, when the unemployment rate got up to 25 percent, or five times the level we're at now." Since then fears have escalated that 2006 will end as the first year since the Great Depression that home values have indeed dropped below previous years' records. But the circumstances are far from the same. Homeowner benefits, from tax relief to low-interest Federally secured loans, are enormous. Mortgage interest rates are back to February lows. And higher home inventories mean better selection for homebuyers to improve their vantage point as homeowners. "If you see that investors are accounting for a third or a half of purchases in a local community, then I would be more concerned about speculative fervor," said Nothaft. "And I would expect stagnation in home-value trends in markets where unemployment is higher than 7 percent." While unemployment has certainly hit some parts of the country hard, such as Michigan staggering under GM and Ford's woes, nationally unemployment has trended downward and is currently at 4.6 percent. But the financial press has yet to laud the good news in housing, and that's why Realogy has taken over the reins. Perriello isn't alone in thinking that the popular press has gone too far and is actually creating its own negative drag on the housing market. A week ago, Nicolas P. Retsinas, director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard, wrote an op-ed for the Cincinnati Press titled, "There's Nothing To Fear In Housing Market" in which he said, "Cassandra, though, can stop wailing: the expected price corrections mark a slowing in the rate of increase -- not a precipitous decline. This will not spark a chain reaction that will devastate homeowners, builders and communities. Contradicting another gloomy seer, Chicken Little, the sky is not falling." This is not to discount the fears of people in areas where there has been tremendous investor speculation or job loss, but as Nothaft points out, real estate is local and dependent upon local economies. Perriello says,"We will certainly continue our efforts to share the ‘good news’ using a multilayered approach. Whether it’s through additional ads, media interviews, or sharing market statistics with the brokers and sales associates in our networks, our desire is to end the buyer-seller disconnect that still exists." Published: October 9, 2006 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws. Related Articles:
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