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Third-best Year In 2006, Says NAR And NAHB

Is it really correct to call falling housing prices a "correction"? It would be hard to argue that people who paid more than they can sell their houses for now didn't pay market value at the time. They'd hate to think of themselves as incorrect about buying.

Meanwhile, 2006 was the year of the "soft landing," or the "crash" that never happened, although some areas did go through substantial pain as the pace of home sales and prices reset from record highs in 2005.

There was no appreciation in December as median home prices stuck at $222,000, unchanged from December 2005, but for all of 2006, the median price increased an anemic 1.1 percent to $222,000, from a median price of $219,600 in 2005.

That said, existing-home sales had a charley horse, but still managed to cross the finish line with the third-best record in sales ever, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales were off 7.9 percent in December from 2005, but the year finished down by only 8.4 percent, thanks to a much faster sales pace early in the year.

David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said, "It looks like we're moving beyond the low for the housing cycle last fall, and buyers are responding to historically low interest rates and competitive pricing by home sellers. In addition, a tightening inventory of homes on the market is supporting prices."

Housing supplies have improved for sellers now looking for some positive momentum as they gear up for the spring market -- housing's at a 6.8 month supply in December, down from a 7.3-month supply in November.

New homes fared a little better in December. Sales of new single-family homes rose 4.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.12 million units in December, according to figures released by the U.S. Commerce Department last week.

Sales for 2006 were precipitously lower in 2006. At 1.061 million units sold, this was a 17.3 percent drop from the all-time high achieved in 2005, and the sharpest percentage decline since 1990.

The good news there is that the housing industry can work quickly to slow inventory production and to sell excess inventory with incentives.

"The stabilization of home sales and housing demand that we are now seeing is the first step required to put the housing market back on track," said NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders. "The second step is to whittle down the inventory overhang, which builders have been doing since July, and the final step will be to bring housing starts back up to sustainable levels. We anticipate that starts will bottom out in the first quarter of this year and that residential construction activity will be moving up by the second half of 2007."

Like existing homes, the inventory of new homes for sale hit a 10-month low of 537,000 units in December, equivalent to a 5.9-month supply at the current sales price which is down from the high of 7.2-month supply set in July 2005.

Published: January 30, 2007

Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.




Blanche is a renowned author of five real estate books. Her newest, Bubbles, Booms and Busts: Make Money In Any Real Estate Market, McGraw-Hill, was rave-reviewed by The New York Times. She was also selected from hundreds of real estate experts to contribute to Donald Trump's book, Trump: The Best Real Estate Advice I Ever Received: 100 Top Experts Share Their Strategies, Rutledge Hill Press, and is featured on page 68.


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Review - Honors

In 2006, Blanche was selected among scores of candidates to author two consumer real estate guidebooks for the National Association of Realtors: The NAR Guide to Home Buying, and The NAR Guide to Home Selling, Wiley & Sons. She is currently planning two new books for the NAR and its members.

     

Known for her keen insight into real estate industry issues and for her ability to make complex subjects easy to understand, Blanche is a sought-after keynote and continuing education speaker. Real estate organizations from MLSs, to brokerages, to franchisors, to associations hire her to provide up-to-the-minute analysis of real estate industry news and advice on how to improve revenues. Her passionate delivery, peppered with stinging wit, is a huge hit with audiences and fans.


Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors, Blanche Evans, Richard Courtney, president 2007, GRAR

"The GNAR membership meeting last week featured Blanche Evans as the keynote speaker. Her comments and insights resonated extremely well with those in attendance and we have had many requests for copies of her PowerPoint Presentation. She was a terrific part of the membership meeting and convention program!" - Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors

Coverage from WSMV, Nashville - 8-14-2007

That Interview Guy - Get Inside The Head Of Today's Generation
2007 AE Institute Session - To purchase
2006 AE Institute Session - Parts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
HouseValues Mastermind call - Parts 1 2

Blanche's fireside chat with Jeremy Conaway, HAR - Click here.

For more articles by Blanche, click here.








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