The National Association of Realtors has had its share of battles this year, but none is more frustrating than the national media telling homebuyers that investing in a home is a stupid idea.
First, they keep trying to make real estate into a national market, and then they treat the approximately 2 percent loss in housing prices for 2007 like the Crash of 1929.
From the Housing Bubble to the Mortgage Meltdown, the press has been relentless, even though most people have lost more money on their SUV's and their stock portfolio than their homes this year.
It's time for a little perspective here, folks. Here are a few facts the NAR would like the media to remember:
Even though national housing prices are likely to dip around two percent this year, 2007 will still be the 5th best housing year on record.
The East and West Coast typically flex higher and lower than the middle of the country, so it's not surprising that when the housing boom started back in 2002, prices skyrocketed in California and Florida, while going flat in other places.
Rapid price gains are unsustainable, and will always overcorrect before settling back to normal rates of appreciation.
Those believing that price gains would go on forever are the ones who were likeliest to get hurt -- speculators and homebuyers who bought beyond their true means.
Most foreclosures and delinquencies are concentrated in the subprime market, and those who qualify for conventional financing are still seeing extremely favorable interest rates.
Homeownership is not a quick in and out purchase like stocks. Wealth is built over the long term, which is one reason why homebuying is heavily subsidized by tax savings and generous loan programs that enable people to get into homes without large downpayments.
Stocks and houses aren't the same. Over 10 years, a $10,000 investment in the stock market at a normal 10 percent market rate of return would yield nearly $24,000. The same investment as a down payment on a $200,000 home at a normal appreciation rate of 5 percent would return nearly 5 times the stock market return, or over $110,000.
While some markets have reported major losses in home values, they also have extenuating circumstances such as major job loss as is the case in Detroit, or overspeculation, as in parts of Florida. For many communities, home values are going up, not down.
To find out what market conditions are like in your neighborhood, click on Realty Times, and View Market Conditions on the menu bar across the top of the front page.
Published: November 20, 2007
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Blanche Evans is the award-winning senior editor of Realty Times, the Internet's leading independent real estate news service. She is featured daily on the Realty Times Video Network in the "Realty Viewpoint" segment.
Blanche has been named one of the "25 Most Influential People In Real Estate" by REALTOR Magazine, and has been twice recognized as a "notable." In 2005, she was named "Top Reporter Covering the NAR" by Delahaye-Bacon's.
Blanche is a renowned author of five real estate books. Her newest, Bubbles, Booms and Busts: Make Money In Any Real Estate Market, McGraw-Hill, was rave-reviewed by The New York Times. She was also selected from hundreds of real estate experts to contribute to Donald Trump's book, Trump: The Best Real Estate Advice I Ever Received: 100 Top Experts Share Their Strategies, Rutledge Hill Press, and is featured on page 68.
In 2006, Blanche was selected among scores of candidates to author two consumer real estate guidebooks for the National Association of Realtors: The NAR Guide to Home Buying, and The NAR Guide to Home Selling, Wiley & Sons. She is currently planning two new books for the NAR and its members.
Known for her keen insight into real estate industry issues and for her ability to make complex subjects easy to understand, Blanche is a sought-after keynote and continuing education speaker. Real estate organizations from MLSs, to brokerages, to franchisors, to associations hire her to provide up-to-the-minute analysis of real estate industry news and advice on how to improve revenues. Her passionate delivery, peppered with stinging wit, is a huge hit with audiences and fans.
Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors, Blanche Evans, Richard Courtney, president 2007, GRAR
"The GNAR membership meeting last week featured Blanche Evans as the keynote speaker. Her comments and insights resonated extremely well with those in attendance and we have had many requests for copies of her PowerPoint Presentation. She was a terrific part of the membership meeting and convention program!" - Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors