A new report by the National Association of Realtors shows the real reason why home sales don't crash for long -- rents. When purchase demands slow down, rentals speed up. Rents provide the floor that stops housing prices from major declines.

Home prices going down has been the big news lately, but in the shadows is a statistic that may surprise you. The first quarter of 2008 makes the 24th consecutive quarter that rental prices have escalated nationwide.

According to Reis Inc., a New-York based research firm, the soft home market and stricter loan terms are combining to turn more potential homebuyers into renters.

The troubling part is that renting isn't necessarily better for consumer pocketbooks than owning. A new report by the National Low Income Housing Coalition’s annual report "Out of Reach," suggests that one in seven U.S. households is using more than half their income for shelter. Low-income, minority and first-time homebuyers are the most impacted, suggests the study.

First-time homebuyers are approximately 40 percent of the housing market, so knocking them out knocks out move-up homebuyers who wish to trade up to larger and/or more expensive homes.

One bright spot following the release of the report was the weekly mortgage applications survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association. The trade organization's Market Composite Index found that purchase loan applications increased 5.4 percent from a week earlier. And the Refinance Index found that refinance applications increased 3.4 percent.

Because mortgage interest rates rose slightly for the week, to 5.78 percent from 5.75 percent, the implication is that flat rates weren't the reason for the rise in applications, but that consumers may simply be moving off the bench for the spring homebuying season.

We'll know more as the weeks continue, if there is a relationship between rising rents, and rising home sales and mortgage applications.

Published: April 14, 2008

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Blanche Evans is the award-winning senior editor of Realty Times, the Internet's leading independent real estate news service. She is featured daily on the Realty Times Video Network in the "Realty Viewpoint" segment. Blanche has been named one of the "25 Most Influential People In Real Estate" by REALTOR Magazine, and has been twice recognized as a "notable." In 2005, she was named "Top Reporter Covering the NAR" by Delahaye-Bacon's. Blanche is a renowned author of five real estate books. Her newest, Bubbles, Booms and Busts: Make Money In Any Real Estate Market, McGraw-Hill, was rave-reviewed by The New York Times. She was also selected from hundreds of real estate experts to contribute to Donald Trump's book, Trump: The Best Real Estate Advice I Ever Received: 100 Top Experts Share Their Strategies, Rutledge Hill Press, and is featured on page 68. Order Now Review - Honors In 2006, Blanche was selected among scores of candidates to author two consumer real estate guidebooks for the National Association of Realtors: The NAR Guide to Home Buying, and The NAR Guide to Home Selling, Wiley & Sons. She is currently planning two new books for the NAR and its members.       Known for her keen insight into real estate industry issues and for her ability to make complex subjects easy to understand, Blanche is a sought-after keynote and continuing education speaker. Real estate organizations from MLSs, to brokerages, to franchisors, to associations hire her to provide up-to-the-minute analysis of real estate industry news and advice on how to improve revenues. Her passionate delivery, peppered with stinging wit, is a huge hit with audiences and fans. Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors, Blanche Evans, Richard Courtney, president 2007, GRAR "The GNAR membership meeting last week featured Blanche Evans as the keynote speaker. Her comments and insights resonated extremely well with those in attendance and we have had many requests for copies of her PowerPoint Presentation. She was a terrific part of the membership meeting and convention program!" - Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors Coverage from WSMV, Nashville - 8-14-2007 That Interview Guy - Get Inside The Head Of Today's Generation 2007 AE Institute Session - To purchase 2006 AE Institute Session - Parts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 HouseValues Mastermind call - Parts 1 2 Blanche's fireside chat with Jeremy Conaway, HAR - Click here. To contact Blanche, email her at . For more articles by Blanche, click here.