The National Association of Realtors is reporting that commercial real estate is ailing, worsened by the recent economic downturn.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said commercial real estate has been hit by a double whammy. "Significant job losses have reduced the demand for commercial space, while a lack of credit has stalled transactions and refinancing activity," he said. "It is critical for the Federal Reserve to increase liquidity by purchasing commercial mortgage-backed securities. Because commercial real estate always lags an overall economic recovery, it will take some time for the commercial real estate market to rebound."

Overall, commercial vacancy rates are rising and rents are softening, according to NAR’s latest COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK.

With consumers reluctant to spend much in the current economy, the retail vacancy rate will probably rise to 12.1 percent this year and 15.8 percent in 2010 from 9.7 percent in 2008. Average retail rent is expected to fall 2.1 percent in 2009 and 1.5 percent next year; it declined 2.0 percent in 2008. Net absorption of retail space in 53 tracked markets will likely be a negative 38.6 million square feet this year and a negative 44.2 million in 2010.

Published: May 22, 2009

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