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Mortgage Debt Doesn't Worry Canadians - But They Fear For Others
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Canadians believe that other people have taken on too much debt or that “a lot of Canadians became homeowners over the last few years who probably should not be homeowners.” But when it comes to their own finances, these same people think they have borrowed responsibly and that real estate is still a good long-term investment.

Although the results seem contradictory, “It might be that the fearful opinions about overall debt have been influenced by statements in the media, more so than by the actual behaviour of Canadians,” says Will Dunning, author of the Annual State of the Residential Mortgage Market from the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP).

The association's research seems to show that media attention about high debt levels has “influenced many Canadians to believe that other people ('but not me') have been irresponsible,” says Dunning in the report.

CAAMP's latest research confirms what the association has been stating for some time: that “a vast majority of Canadians have substantial capacities to avoid higher interest rates.” It asked mortgage holders “the amount at which, if your monthly mortgage payment increased this much, you would be concerned with your ability to make your payments.” The average amount of “wiggle” room is $750 per month on top of current costs.

CAAMP says about 12 per cent of mortgage borrowers say they would have problems if interest rates rose by less than one per cent, but even for this group there are mitigating factors. “Most of them have substantial amounts of housing equity; 88 per cent have 10 per cent or more equity and have potential to call on their equity, either by selling or by refinancing,” says CAAMP. “An estimated 12 per cent, or about 75,000 mortgage holders, have less than 10 per cent equity in their homes.

“For many others, time will be a mitigating factor, as about three-quarters of them have either fixed-rate or combination mortgages: any changes in interest rates will not affect them until their renewal rates,” says the report. By then, they will have seen some income growth and the amount of mortgage principal will have been reduced, making the impact of future rate hikes less than it might be today.

Some facts and figures from the CAAMP report:

  • There are about 13.6 million occupied homes in Canada. Of these, 9.55 million are owner-occupied, including 5.80 million with mortgages and 3.75 million without mortgages.

  • The total value of owner-occupied housing in Canada is estimated at $3.017 trillion.

  • Mortgages and lines of credit for these homes amount to $982 billion.

  • That means Canadians have $2.035 trillion in home equity, equal to 68 per cent of the total value of housing.

  • Almost 30 per cent of homeowners have neither a mortgage nor a home equity line of credit.

  • Half of all homeowners have a mortgage only; 10.7 per cent have both a mortgage and a line of credit to pay off. In the last year, about 10 per cent of mortgage borrowers took equity out of their home (an average amount of $49,000, accounting for a total of $28.5 billion). The money was used for debt reconsolidation and payment ($11 billion), education and other spending ($6 billion), home renovations ($5 billion), investments ($3.5 billion) and “other” purposes ($3 billion).

  • Two per cent of homeowners (about 150,000 to 170,000) may have negative equity in their homes.

  • The average dwelling value (as estimated by the occupants) is $316,000.

  • The average mortgage amount is $90,000 and the average home equity line of credit is $12,000.

  • The average mortgage interest rate is 3.92 per cent, a drop from 4.22 per cent a year ago.

  • During the last year, the average “posted” rate for a five-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 5.38 per cent, so rates on average are discounted by 1.46 per cent.

  • Fixed-rate mortgages are favoured by 60 per cent of borrowers, while 31 per cent have variable and adjustable-rate mortgages. The variable-rate mortgages are gaining market share because the cost difference between fixed and variable is growing wider and interest rates are expected to remain low for an extended period.

  • Twenty-two per cent of mortgages have amortization periods of more than 25 years. Amortization periods of more than 30 years cannot be insured in Canada. For homes purchased in 2011, 41 per cent of mortgages have an amortization period of longer than 25 years.

  • Despite heavy competition for mortgage business, consumers don't seem to be shopping around for their mortgages. Among those who renewed during the last year, 79 per cent stayed with the same lender and only 21 per cent switched.

  • Fifty-two per cent of mortgage holders got their mortgage from a bank, 32 per cent from a mortgage broker and 16 per cent from other sources.

  • About 15 per cent of mortgage holders refinanced before their mortgage was due for renewal. About 53 per cent paid no penalty because they renewed with the same lender.

    CAAMP estimates that based on housing market forecasts, the volume of residential mortgage credit outstanding will grow by 7.7 per cent in 2011, 7.3 per cent in 2012 and seven per cent in 2013.

  • Published: November 22, 2011

    Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.


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    Jim Adair is editor of REM: Canada's Real Estate Magazine, a business publication for real estate agents and brokers. He has been writing about Canadian real estate, home building and renovation issues for more than 30 years. You can contact Jim at .



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    Mortgage Rates
    30 Year Fixed: 3.83%
    15 Year Fixed: 3.05%
    1 Year Adj: 2.73%
    (U.S. Weekly Averages)

    Today's Headlines 11/22/2011


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