Mortgage Rates Dip Below 7% For First Time in 5 Weeks, Giving Buyers Some Much-Needed Relief

Written by Posted On Thursday, 16 May 2024 05:41

Pending home sales are down and new listings are flat during a time of year when they typically rise. But this week’s softer-than-expected inflation report sent mortgage rates down, which could bring back some homebuyers and sellers.

rates down, which could bring back some homebuyers and sellers.

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) —Pending home sales fell 4.3% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending May 12, the biggest decline in roughly three months. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Pending home sales also posted a week-over-week decline, unusual for early May.

Inventory is losing momentum, too, as would-be sellers stay put to hang onto their low mortgage rate. New listings rose 10% year over year, but they were essentially flat from a week earlier, which is significant because listings typically increase this time of year.

The housing market slumped because of sky-high housing costs. The median U.S. home-sale price is up 4.7% year over year to a record $386,951, and the median monthly mortgage payment is sitting at $2,858, just $26 shy of the all-time high set in April. But affordability is starting to improve a bit: Daily average mortgage rates have steadily declined since the start of May, and this week’s slightly softer-than-expected inflation report sent rates below 7% for the first time in over five weeks. And 6.3% of home sellers are dropping their price, on average, the highest share in a year and a half, which may mean price growth loses momentum soon.

“High prices and rates are challenging, but there are ways for buyers to take advantage of the somewhat slow market,” said Marsha McMahon-Jones, a Redfin Premier agent in Palm Springs, CA. “Sellers know that high mortgage rates mean they should expect negotiations, expect offers to come in under list price, and be ready for some back and forth on things like repairs and closing costs. Buyers may not be able to get a lower mortgage rate, but they’re often getting homes for slightly less than the asking price. It’s also a good time to buy a fixer-upper at a lower price point because those aren’t selling as quickly.”

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, including more on how current financial events are impacting mortgage rates, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.99% (May 15)

Down from a 5-month high of 7.52% three weeks earlier

Up from 6.55%

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

7.09% (week ending May 9)

Down from 5-month high of 7.22% a week earlier

Up from 6.35%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Declined 2% from a week earlier (as of week ending May 10)

Down 14%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted)

 

Lowest level in 2 months (as of week ending May 12)

Down 13%

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure of requests for tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents

Touring activity

 

Up 5% from the start of the year (as of May 13)

At this time last year, it was up 21% from the start of 2023

ShowingTime, a home touring technology company

Google searches for “home for sale”

 

Down 8% from a month earlier (as of May 13)

Down 15%

Google Trends

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending May 12, 2024

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and is based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending May 12, 2024

Year-over-year change

Notes

Median sale price

$386,951

4.7%

All-time high

Median asking price

$418,455

6.6%

All-time high

Median monthly mortgage payment

$2,858 at a 7.09% mortgage rate

12.7%

Just $26 below all-time high set during the 4 weeks ending April 28

Pending sales

90,457

-4.3%

Biggest decline since 4 weeks ending Feb. 25

New listings

102,269

10%

 

Active listings

890,224

14.2%

 

Months of supply

3.2

+0.5 pts.

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions

Share of homes off market in two weeks

45.2%

Down from 49%

 

Median days on market

33

+2 days

 

Share of homes sold above list price

30.8%

Down from 33%

 

Share of homes with a price drop

6.3%

+2 pts.

Highest level since Nov. 2022

Average sale-to-list price ratio

99.4%

Unchanged

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending May 12, 2024

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

Detroit (18.8%)

Anaheim, CA (18.6%)

West Palm Beach, FL (16.2%)

San Jose, CA (13.6%)

Newark, NJ (11.7%)

San Antonio (-0.5%)

Declined in just 1 metro

Pending sales

San Jose, CA (16.6%)

Anaheim, CA (9.2%)

San Francisco (5.3%)

Newark, NJ (5.2%)

Sacramento, CA (3%)

Phoenix (-14.9%)

Atlanta (-13.6%)

Houston (-13.2%)

West Palm Beach, FL (-11.8%)

Nashville, TN (-11.1%)

Increased in 15 metros

New listings

San Jose, CA (40.2%)

Seattle (26.4%)

Phoenix (24.7%)

Oakland, CA (24.6%)

Montgomery County, PA (21.9%)

Chicago (-8.1%)

Atlanta (-3.4%)

Detroit (-3.1%)

Virginia Beach, VA (-1.9%)

Newark, NJ (-1.6%)

Warren, MI (-1.1%)

Declined in 6 metros

To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-mortgage-rates-dip-sales-decline

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About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate broker, instant home-buyer (iBuyer), lender, title insurer, and renovations company. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country's #1 real-estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. 

https://www.redfin.com

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