Today's Headlines - Realty Times
Posted On Friday, 26 April 2024 10:35
Posted On Friday, 26 April 2024 10:16

-- Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 7.17 percent.

“Mortgage rates continued rising this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Despite rates increasing more than half a percent since the first week of the year, purchase demand remains steady. With rates staying higher for longer, many homebuyers are adjusting, as evidenced by this week’s report that sales of newly built homes saw the biggest increase since December 2022.”

News Facts

  • The 30-year FRM averaged 7.17 percent as of April 25, 2024, up from last week when it averaged 7.10 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.43 percent.
  • The 15-year FRM averaged 6.44 percent, up from last week when it averaged 6.39 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.71 percent.

The PMMS® is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. For more information, view our Frequently Asked Questions.

Freddie Mac’s mission is to make home possible for families across the nation. We promote liquidity, stability, affordability and equity in the housing market throughout all economic cycles. Since 1970, we have helped tens of millions of families buy, rent or keep their home. Learn More: Website

Posted On Friday, 26 April 2024 07:08 Written by
Posted On Thursday, 25 April 2024 14:18

Imagine starting a multimillion-dollar company only to have it crumble due to cybercrime. This isn’t a plot from a thriller movie—it’s a harsh reality many face. Cyber threats are increasingly sophisticated, leveraging the very tools meant to simplify our lives to exploit vulnerabilities. From phishing scams that mimic trusted contacts to ransomware attacks that can shut down entire supply chains, no one is immune.

The weaponization of artificial intelligence presents a particularly alarming trend. AI can accelerate the rate of attacks, automate malicious activities, and craft deceptive content that can fool even the most vigilant among us. This evolution demands that we not only stay updated with the latest in cybersecurity but also engage actively in educating everyone within our spheres of influence.

https://www.burrus.com/become-anticipatory

In our rapidly evolving digital age, the importance of robust cybersecurity measures cannot be overstated. Join me live on April 30th when I sit down with John Sileo, who will share his personal encounters with cybercrime. Our discussion will shed light on the stark reality of digital dangers, underscoring the profound impact that cyber attacks can have on our lives.

Cybersecurity is not just about fending off attacks; it’s about fostering a culture of awareness and preparedness. Training and continuous education can transform the way we tackle cybersecurity, moving from reactive measures to proactive strategies. 

For businesses, regular security training and an up-to-date understanding of AI’s role in cybersecurity are indispensable along with many other insights and steps we will share. For individuals, we will share simple tips that can significantly reduce risk.

Remember, cybersecurity is a continuous journey. It requires vigilance, education, and the right tools to defend against evolving threats. Join my Anticipatory Leader Membership this month to delve deeper into this discussions and equip yourself with the knowledge to protect your digital landscape. 

Together, let’s anticipate change and secure our future. For more insights and to join us for this month’s episode with John, consider joining my  membership community where experts converge to empower and educate on navigating today’s complex technological landscape.

 

Posted On Monday, 29 April 2024 00:00 Written by

One of the key components of coaching is to be sure that my clients are well scheduled and prepared for things they know are coming. Planning for summer is often overlooked but can make a huge difference in your business. You need to look and prepare for events that are going to take place so you can choose to be prepared for them and make them productive for you! Here are the seven things I think everyone in our industry should be prepared for:

1.  Mother’s Day in May
2.  Memorial Day in May
3.  End of your local school year
4.  Father’s Day in June
5.  4th of July
6.  Your personal and team’s summer schedule
7.  VACATIONS!

Not all of these are going to be important to everyone in every location. Some have more significance to some people than others. Only you can determine the importance of any or all of these events, but you do need to be aware of all of them and plan accordingly.

While some of these are specific events, they also can create time stamps for specific actions to take place. For example, Mother’s Day can make us think about if we may become caregivers or if our clients may need to think about having mom or dad move in with them? Maybe downsizing mom to a smaller house or possibly using a reverse mortgage to help with financial pressures? There are all kinds of connections that can be made if you are aware of them and plan accordingly.

My big two are the end of school and preparing for vacations! The end of the school year and vacations are natural triggers for action and opportunity! Trading up or down can often need to take place while the kids are out of school! Vacations often take time away from those we work with, for, and those we serve! All can become a huge challenge if we aren’t prepared for it!

Today we have GDP numbers and initial and continuing jobless claims; and Friday we have PCE numbers, all can be market movers so be prepared! If you have questions or comments: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Posted On Tuesday, 30 April 2024 00:00 Written by
Posted On Thursday, 25 April 2024 11:44 Written by
Posted On Thursday, 25 April 2024 11:23

NAR forecasts 4.46 million existing-home sales in 2024, a 9% increase from 2023

Pending home sales in March climbed 3.4%, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The Northeast, South and West posted monthly gains in transactions while the Midwest recorded a loss. Year-over-year, the Northeast and South registered decreases but the Midwest and West improved.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – increased to 78.2 in March. Year over year, pending transactions were up 0.1%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001.

“March’s Pending Home Sales Index – at 78.2 – marks the best performance in a year, but it still remains in a fairly narrow range over the last 12 months without a measurable breakout,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Meaningful gains will only occur with declining mortgage rates and rising inventory.”

Quarterly U.S. Economic Forecast

            NAR forecasts that existing-home sales will rise by 9% in 2024 to 4.46 million (from 4.09 million 2023) and another 13.2% in 2025 to 5.05 million (from 2024). Housing starts are expected to rise by 1.2% in 2024 to 1.43 million (from 1.413 million in 2023) and 4.9% to 1.5 million in 2025 (from 2024).

            “Home sales have lingered at 30-year lows, and since 70 million more Americans live in the country now compared to three decades ago, it’s inevitable that sales will rise in coming years,” explained Yun. “Inventory will grow steadily from more home construction, and various life-changing events will require people to trade up, trade down or move to another location.”

NAR expects that median home prices will increase by 1.8% in 2024 to a record of $396,800 (from $389,800 in 2023) and another 1.8% in 2025 to $403,800 (from 2024). NAR forecasts a modest reduction – 0.6% – in the median new home price to $426,100 in 2024 (from $428,600 in 2023), reflecting the building of smaller-sized homes. The association anticipates the median new home price will jump 3.4% to $440,500 in 2025 (from 2024).

“Home prices are expected to rise roughly in line with consumer price inflation and wage growth over the next two years,” added Yun. “Most homeowners are on strong financial footing in current market conditions, with only 2% of sales classified as being distressed.”

NAR expects home sales to steadily improve while home prices continue to hit record highs.

“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales,” explained Yun. “Given the lingering housing shortage, home prices will march higher, albeit much more slowly than in the past.”

Pending Home Sales Regional Breakdown

The Northeast PHSI increased 2.7% from last month to 65.1, a decline of 0.3% from March 2023. The Midwest index fell 4.3% to 78.1 in March, up 1.3% from one year ago.

The South PHSI improved 7.0% to 95.8 in March, dropping 1.5% from the prior year. The West index rose 6.8% in March to 61.0, up 3.6% from March 2023.

 “Home prices rising faster than income growth is not healthy and adds challenges for first-time buyers,” said Yun.

Yun further noted, “Inventory will gradually rise from recent growth in home building. Additionally, many sellers who delayed listing in the past two years will start putting their homes on the market to move to a different home that better fits their new life circumstances – such as changes in family composition, jobs, commuting patterns and retirees wanting to be closer to their grandkids.”

About the National Association of Realtors®

The National Association of Realtors® is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.5 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries. The term Realtor® is a registered collective membership mark that identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the National Association of Realtors® and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics.

# # #

*The Pending Home Sales Index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.

Pending contracts are good early indicators of upcoming sales closings. However, the amount of time between pending contracts and completed sales is not identical for all home sales. Variations in the length of the process from pending contract to closed sale can be caused by issues such as buyer difficulties with obtaining mortgage financing, home inspection problems, or appraisal issues.

The index is based on a sample that covers about 40% of multiple listing service data each month. In developing the model for the index, it was demonstrated that the level of monthly sales-contract activity parallels the level of closed existing-home sales in the following two months.

An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, which was the first year to be examined. By coincidence, the volume of existing-home sales in 2001 fell within the range of 5.0 to 5.5 million, which is considered normal for the current U.S. population.

                                                       

NOTE: Existing-Home Sales for April will be released May 22. The next Pending Home Sales Index will be released May 30. All release times are 10 a.m. Eastern. View the NAR Statistical News Release Schedule.

Posted On Thursday, 25 April 2024 07:01 Written by

Redfin reports many U.S. homeowners wouldn’t be able to afford to buy their home if they were to purchase it today because home prices have doubled over the last decade, and monthly housing costs are at an all-time high

Nearly two of every five (38%) homeowners don’t believe they could afford to buy their own home if they were purchasing it today, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

This is based on a Redfin-commissioned survey of roughly 3,000 U.S. residents conducted by Qualtrics in February 2024.

Nearly three in five (59%) homeowners who answered this question have lived in their home for at least 10 years, and another 21% have lived in their home for at least five years. That means the majority of respondents have seen housing prices in their neighborhood skyrocket since they purchased their home: The median U.S. home-sale price has doubled in the last 10 years, and has shot up nearly 50% in the last five years alone.

Home prices have soared over the last decade for several reasons. Already-high home prices skyrocketed during the pandemic, when remote work and ultra-low mortgage rates motivated many Americans to move and buy homes. Even before the pandemic buying boom, home prices were increasing due to a prolonged supply shortage, along with a strong labor market and growing population pushing up demand.

Rising mortgage rates are another reason many homeowners couldn’t afford their own home if they were to buy it today. The typical person purchasing today’s median-priced home for about $420,000 has a record-high $2,864 monthly housing payment with a 7.1% mortgage rate, the current 30-year fixed-rate average. If they were to purchase a home for the same price with a 4% mortgage rate, which was common in 2019, their monthly payment would be $2,210, roughly $650 less.

“Rising home prices are a double-edged sword. On the one hand, Americans who already own homes benefit from rising values and they can consider themselves lucky they broke into the housing market while they could still afford it,” said Redfin Senior Economist Elijah de la Campa. “On the other hand, price appreciation makes the prospect of buying a new home daunting or even impossible for many people who want to move. Prices have risen enough that a similar home and location would be much pricier than a home someone already owns–even accounting for inflation. Add elevated mortgage rates to the equation, and moving up to a bigger, better home is even more costly and perhaps out of reach.”

The situation is especially dire for first-time buyers, who haven’t built up equity from the sale of a previous home. Nearly 40% of U.S. renters don’t believe they’ll ever own a home, up from 27% last year. Of the Gen Zers and millennials who do expect to buy their first home soon, more than one-third (36%) expect to use a cash gift from family to help with their down payment.

Baby boomers least likely to be able to afford to buy their own home today

Broken down by generation, baby boomers are least likely to be able to afford their current home if they were to buy it today. Nearly half (45%) of baby boomers said they couldn’t afford a similar home in their neighborhood now, compared to 39% of Gen Xers and 24% of Gen Zers and millennials. That stands to reason, as baby boomers are more likely to have bought their home a long time ago for a much lower price. That dynamic contributes to the shortage of homes for sale: Empty-nest baby boomers own twice as many large homes nationwide as millennials with kids, largely because older Americans, with no financial incentive to sell, are hanging onto their homes.

Unsurprisingly, lower-income homeowners are least likely to be able to afford their own home today. More than half (51%) of respondents earning under $50,000 annually wouldn’t be able to afford their home, compared to 34% of people earning $50,000-$100,000 and 21% of people earning more than $100,000.

To view the full report, including a chart and more details on methodology, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/survey-homeowners-afford-own-home

Posted On Thursday, 25 April 2024 05:31 Written by
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