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With mortgage applications off by more than 20% year over year, many are feeling the pain. Many had thought that we were going to see a much stronger mortgage bond market by now and rates would have been slowly heading into the 5% range. I was one of those people. I still believe that rates will head lower as the Fed begins to realize that they have gone far enough in raising rates, some think too far, but after they raise rates again next week, we might get enough information in that will convince them that this move higher should be their last. I hope so! The next meeting will be in September and the repayment process on student loans will tighten economic activity a good bit all on their own. We don’t need a recession. That is, if we ever get a “new” definition of what a recession is!…
Redfin reports 14 of every 1,000 homes changed hands in the first half of 2023, compared to 19 of every 1,000 during the same period in 2019. The turnover rate for large suburban houses has declined even more. Roughly 14 of every 1,000 U.S. homes changed hands during the first six months of 2023, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That’s down from 19 of every 1,000 during the same period of 2019 and the lowest turnover rate in at least a decade. In 2018, Freddie Mac estimated that about 2.5 million more homes needed to be built to meet demand, with the shortfall mainly due to a lack of construction of single-family homes. The homebuying boom of late 2020 and 2021, driven by record-low mortgage rates, remote work and a surge in investor purchases, depleted already low inventory levels. Finally, 2022's soaring…
![29% of Americans Say They’d Consider Co-Buying a Home With Friends or Family [New LendingTree Survey]](/media/k2/items/cache/439f4a8325f66cc1d2120ebc781f1146_S.jpg)
In the latest survey from Lending Tree they found that 29% of Americans say they’d be open to co-buying a home with someone other than their spouse or significant other. 36% of Non-homeowners fear they'll never be able to buy on their own. 29% of Americans say they’d be open to co-buying a home with someone. 63% say they’d consider doing so with a family member who wasn’t their spouse and 57% say they’d consider buying with a good friend or current roommate. Nearly two-thirds of parents say they’d consider co-buying a home with their child. Millennial parents are the most receptive to the idea at 76%, compared with 53% of baby boomers. 64% of non-homeowners say they think they’ll be able to afford a home without a co-buyer one day. Gen Z is the most optimistic generation at 76%, while baby boomers have the bleakest outlook at 43%. Of those who think…
Existing-home sales slipped in June, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales varied among the four major U.S. regions, with the Northeast experiencing gains, the Midwest holding steady, and the South and West posting decreases. All four regions recorded year-over-year sales declines. Total existing-home sales[i] – completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – receded 3.3% from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.16 million in June. Year-over-year, sales fell 18.9% (down from 5.13 million in June 2022). “The first half of the year was a downer for sure with sales lower by 23%,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Fewer Americans were on the move despite the usual life-changing circumstances. The pent-up demand will surely be realized soon, especially if mortgage rates and inventory move favorably.” Total housing inventory[ii] registered at the end of June was 1.08 million units, identical to May but…
![Natasha Hazlett Speaks To The How To Harness Your Own Unstoppable Influence, Not Just Learning, But Living! Discover What Happens After We Read Her Book, And What You Need To Transform The Inspiration Into Your Own Life! [VIDEO]](/media/k2/items/cache/3714e6521c0cd13e08b5958bda49f68f_S.jpg)
A bit about Natasha: Natasha Nassar Hazlett is an inspirational speaker, coach, attorney and author of the #1 Amazon Best Selling Book: Unstoppable Influence: Be You. Be Fearless. Transform Lives. One decision helped this formerly uninspired, unmotivated entrepreneur on the verge of abandoning her business to finally ditch her limiting, self-sabotaging beliefs and uncover her radiant Truth. Now she and her husband, Rich, are helping thousands of others do the same through their popular Unstoppable Influence® 21-Day Challenges and coaching programs. Natasha and Rich are the co-founders of Fast Forward Marketing, LLC. Together they empower entrepreneurs around the world with the clarity, confidence, and strategies they need to boost their income and influence while working less. Natasha is also Of Counsel to the Boise law firm of Angstman Johnson, where her practice is focused on estate planning and estate and trust administration. She graduated from Southern Methodist University with a B.A. in Political Science…
In part 1 of this article, we diagnosed a reality of many digital disruptions, especially those pertaining to AI and automation in the education industry: Technology will NOT replace humans, but only give them a greater opportunity to leverage their tactile, human skills to find new roles in the world. In such a hands-on, human sector as education, educators, administrators, and leaders alike should not fear the current influx of autonomous software like ChatGPT but instead, use an anticipatory mindset coupled with their human competencies to adapt autonomous software and think critically and creatively about letting it handle the simple, otherwise arduous tasks. In doing so, professionals in education can better foster the ability for students to learn the skill of application and in turn, how they themselves can adapt to the world around them. The best part? All of this cannot be replicated by AI, autonomous software, or machine learning (ML) whatsoever!
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After a good CPI number and a solid 10-year treasury auction, we saw a nice 75bp improvement in the UMBS 30YR 5.5% coupon, which followed up a 19bp gain on Tuesday. Today we have the PPI number and jobless claims, so we might see some more good news and another good day for bonds. Despite all the good inflation data, you can expect the Fed to raise rates again at the end of the month, just because they can, and because they REFUSE to use any real-time data at their disposal and formulate a real strategy. As usual, the Fed is way behind the curve and refuses to admit they are wrong. Since you can’t fight the Fed, expect a slow, but steady decline in mortgage rates and when the economy stalls in the fall as those with student loans struggle to pay back what they owe, billions will not…
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Elevated mortgage rates are cutting into homebuyers’ budgets. But this week’s inflation report—which shows that consumer prices are cooling quickly—provides a glimmer of hope that mortgage rates could gradually start to come down. The median U.S. home-sale price rose 1.5% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending July 9, the first increase in nearly five months. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Average weekly mortgage rates are at their highest level since November 2022, bringing the typical homebuyer’s monthly payment to a near-record-high of $2,627.
To look at the hit on affordability another way, a homebuyer on a $3,000 monthly budget can afford a $450,000 home with today’s average rate. That buyer has lost $30,000 in purchasing power since February, when they could have bought a $480,000 home with that month’s average rate of around 6%. The drop…
![Do You Have The 5 Essentials Of SPARK? [VIDEO]](/media/k2/items/cache/97bcb3cf8569ef40f3e29216103b64b7_S.jpg)
What can you learn from a woman who is a self-described Badass (former military), a Smart Ass (MBA) and a PhD Wise Ass? You get the author of a new book, “SPARK! The 5 Essentials to lead within”- Meet Tracey Jones, Ph. D an author of 10 books and learn from her extraordinary vision of leadership! Find out what DNA REALLY stands for! A bit about Tracey: Author, speaker, veteran, and entrepreneur, Dr. Tracey C. Jones is a student of life. With five careers path spanning the military, Fortune 500 companies, defense and government contracting, and small business, she has a unique perspective of learning, living, and leading. Tracey is the author of 10 books, five of which are children’s books co-“paw”thored by her rescue dogs and cats. She is also a recognized scholar and researcher in the field of crisis leadership and the theory of motivation. As the daughter…
The education industry and teaching are on the precipice of major transformation due to the acceleration of all kinds of new technologies, predominantly artificial intelligence (AI). Education is no longer just a human endeavor, and both teachers and prominent institutions and organizations in the field of education must adapt and adjust as education and technology (also known as EdTech) combine to develop a new, more efficient way of learning.
As you know, much of my teaching revolves around my Hard Trend Methodology and anticipatory thinking, differentiating between Hard Trends and Soft Trends to identify and embrace disruption before it occurs. Hard Trends are those that are future certainties that will happen, while Soft Trends are future possibilities that can be influenced and changed. Before we dive into where the world of education is heading, I want to remind everyone that the world has shifted from a time of rapid change to a time of transformation. Change always…
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