Bonds Begin Their Recovery!

Written by Posted On Monday, 17 July 2023 00:00

After a good CPI number and a solid 10-year treasury auction, we saw a nice 75bp improvement in the UMBS 30YR 5.5% coupon, which followed up a 19bp gain on Tuesday. Today we have the PPI number and jobless claims, so we might see some more good news and another good day for bonds.

Despite all the good inflation data, you can expect the Fed to raise rates again at the end of the month, just because they can, and because they REFUSE to use any real-time data at their disposal and formulate a real strategy. As usual, the Fed is way behind the curve and refuses to admit they are wrong. Since you can’t fight the Fed, expect a slow, but steady decline in mortgage rates and when the economy stalls in the fall as those with student loans struggle to pay back what they owe, billions will not be spent on all they things they have been spending their, and our, money on the last two plus years! While I am sure there are a few people who have made their “payments” to their savings accounts, most just spent the money and are going to be surprised when the loans come due! Yes, I now the president said they weren’t going to have to pay those loans back, but he lied! He has another plan to try and lessen the blow, but it not only won’t work, but it will also get struck down in the courts. People, you borrowed the money, now just pay it back!

The next big challenge we are going to face in the mortgage industry is, what will the rules be for calculating student loan payments now that they are supposed to be being paid back, but there is the attempt to circumvent repayment with the new plan that they are calling “ramping up to repayment!” Just another challenge and quite possibly a very painful surprise to those who think they can go out and buy a home with a mortgage while they are “ramping up” their repayments! This is going to be very challenging if we don’t get some real leadership real soon; and I don’t think that is likely to happen. On the other hand, they could just pay back what they owe!

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Michael White

After 18 years working in all phases of mortgage originations, Mike left day to day originations to start his consulting and coaching company. Now, more than 18+ years later, Mike is working with clients across the country in all markets, big and small, that have generated more than three billion dollars in loan originations within a year.

Mike teaches a system that is focused on time management, action planning, marketing a message, and creating value for both clients and referral sources alike. Quite simply, providing more value leads to more opportunities, more income, less time, and a systematic approach that begs to be duplicated.


By breaking down individual aspects of the mortgage business and providing a step by step approach to creating a consistent flow of opportunities that can lead to a highly successful mortgage practice. That is why people who incorporate these strategies out produce the national averages by almost 3 to 1!

Fundamentals and simple strategies provide day to day activities that help provide a “scheduled success” philosophy. It’s all about identifying, targeting, and establishing profitable referral relationships using exceptional value to keep you in the center of your own referral triangle.

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