The MBA has estimated that mortgage purchase volume will grow by about 9%, to $1.73T. That is $1,730,000,000,000! While that is certainly a positive piece of information, it follows up with the statement that total business volume will fall significantly due to a more than 60% drop in refinance business, from 2.26 trillion dollars to just around $860B. While $860 billion is still a lot of refinances, it will leave a big void in total volume. I’m never one to say that the MBA is always correct in its projections, but obviously higher interest rates and the sheer number of people that have already refinanced down into the 2% range will reduce volume. So, what if the MBA is correct and we see a nice increase in purchase business in 2022, but lose more than 60% of the refinances? My guess is, that it all depends on what your business…